Forward Guidance: The Fed’s Most Powerful Tool — And What Warsh Just Did to It
The Fed invented forward guidance to move markets with words. Here’s how it evolved since 2008 — and what Kevin Warsh’s missing dot signals about the era ending.
Stock markets, macro trends, and geopolitical shifts — explained for the beginning investor.
The Fed invented forward guidance to move markets with words. Here’s how it evolved since 2008 — and what Kevin Warsh’s missing dot signals about the era ending.
AI models are becoming the new semiconductors — assets governments want to control at the border. Anthropic recently restricted two
The Fed held rates steady — but the dot plot moved markets anyway. Here’s what the dot plot is and why nine anonymous dots matter more than the decision itself.
AI infrastructure investing used to be about counting chips. CoreWeave just changed the question. The company’s model works like this:
When the Federal Reserve announces its rate decision tomorrow, most investors will watch the number. That’s the wrong thing to
For most of the past decade, stock buyback investing* had a quiet superpower: it made earnings per share* look better
The Bank of Japan* is expected to raise its benchmark interest rate tomorrow — from 0.75% to 1%. It sounds
The Iran oil deal struck this weekend moves fast. A ceasefire is in place, and a formal signing is scheduled
Index inclusion stock price effects are mechanical and predictable. Here’s why passive funds are forced to buy when a stock joins a major index.
When Iran news sent oil down 8% and stocks surging, that’s a risk premium unwinding. Here’s what the concept means and why every investor should know it.